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USA: Citigroup Economic Surprise Index

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Index description

Citigroup Economic Surprise Index is constructed using weighted historical standard deviations of surprises (difference between actual releases and Bloomberg surveys) different macroeconomic indicators, where the weights depend on the announcement’s effect on the foreign exchange markets. With a Index over 0, its economic performance generally beats market expectations. With a Index below 0, its economic conditions are generally worse than expected. Surprise index readings climb up as economy recovers but declines fast as economy declines.

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Index value can be retrieved via Cbonds add-in for Excel using the formula CbondsIndexValue(99130, date)

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Subgroup indices

Index Current value Date
Canada Business Outlook Survey Indicator -0.39 Points 30/06/2026
Euro Area Business Climate Indicator -0.19 Points 31/07/2026
Eurozone: Sentix Economic Index, Aggregate Overall Index (NSA, montly) 0.9 Index 30/09/2026
France Business Climate Composite Indicator 95 Points 30/06/2026
Germany Ifo Business Climate Index 85.7 Points 30/06/2026
USA: Citigroup Economic Surprise Index 17.2 % 17/08/2026

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