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Exports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024

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Index description

Bank of Russia’s medium-term forecast following the Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting on 25 October 2024. Key forecast parameters of the Bank of Russia’s baseline scenario

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Subgroup indices

Index Current value Date
Current account Goods Imports Forecast from CBR 2025 298 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Services Imports Forecast from CBR 2025 92 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2024 80 USD/BBL 25/10/2024
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2025 80 USD/BBL 25/10/2024
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2026 75 USD/BBL 25/10/2024
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2027 70 USD/BBL 25/10/2024
Change in reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 -14 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Change in reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 -24 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Claims on households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 13.5 % 25/10/2024
Claims on households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 2.5 % 24/10/2025
Claims on households, including mortgage loans in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 9.5 % 25/10/2024
Claims on households, including mortgage loans in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 4.5 % 24/10/2025
Claims on organisations and households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 16.5 % 25/10/2024
Claims on organisations and households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 9.5 % 24/10/2025
Claims on organisations in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 18.5 % 25/10/2024
Claims on organisations in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 11.5 % 24/10/2025
Current account Forecast from CBR 2024 61 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Forecast from CBR 2025 38 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Goods Exports Forecast from CBR 2024 422 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Goods Exports Forecast from CBR 2025 414 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Goods Forecast from CBR 2024 133 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Goods Forecast from CBR 2025 116 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Goods Imports Forecast from CBR 2024 289 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Primary and secondary income balance Forecast from CBR 2024 -34 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Primary and secondary income balance Forecast from CBR 2025 -32 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Services Exports Forecast from CBR 2024 42 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Services Exports Forecast from CBR 2025 47 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Services Forecast from CBR 2024 -38 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current account Services Forecast from CBR 2025 -45 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Current account Services Imports Forecast from CBR 2024 80 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current and capital accounts balance Forecast from CBR 2024 61 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Current and capital accounts balance Forecast from CBR 2025 38 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Exports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 -1 % 25/10/2024
Exports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 -2 % 24/10/2025
Final consumption expenditure householdsgrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 5 % 25/10/2024
Final consumption expenditure householdsgrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 1.5 % 24/10/2025
Final consumption expendituregrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 4 % 25/10/2024
Final consumption expendituregrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 1.5 % 24/10/2025
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 78 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 51 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net acquisition of financial assets, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 58 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net acquisition of financial assets, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 52 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net incurrence of liabilities Forecast from CBR 2024 -20 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net incurrence of liabilities Forecast from CBR 2025 1 USD Billion 24/10/2025
GDP % change Q4 – Q4 previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 2.5 % 25/10/2024
GDP % change Q4 – Q4 previous year previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0 % 24/10/2025
GDP growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 3.75 % 25/10/2024
GDP growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0.75 % 24/10/2025
Gross capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 4.5 % 25/10/2024
Gross capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0 % 24/10/2025
Gross s fixed capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 7 % 25/10/2024
Gross s fixed capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 2 % 24/10/2025
Imports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 -2 % 25/10/2024
Imports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 -1 % 24/10/2025
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2024 8.25 % 25/10/2024
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2025 6.75 % 24/10/2025
Inflation, average for the year, as % year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2024 8.3 % 25/10/2024
Inflation, average for the year, as % year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2025 8.85 % 24/10/2025
Key rate, average for the year, % per annum Forecast from CBR 2024 17.5 % 25/10/2024
Key rate, average for the year, % per annum Forecast from CBR 2025 19.2 % 24/10/2025
Money supply in national definition growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 18.5 % 25/10/2024
Money supply in national definition growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 8.5 % 24/10/2025
Net errors and omissions Forecast from CBR 2024 4 USD Billion 25/10/2024
Net errors and omissions Forecast from CBR 2025 -11 USD Billion 24/10/2025
Oil price for tax purposes Forecast from CBR 2025 58 USD/BBL 24/10/2025
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2022 (max) 10.6 % 28/10/2022
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2022 (min) 10.6 % 28/10/2022
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2023 (max) 15.2 % 27/10/2023
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2023 (min) 15 % 27/10/2023
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2024 (max) 17.5 % 25/10/2024
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2024 (min) 17.5 % 25/10/2024
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2025 (max) 19.2 % 24/10/2025
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2025 (min) 19.2 % 24/10/2025
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