Canada NAIRU: Equilibrium Unemployment Rate
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The equilibrium unemployment rate (code NAIRU) is estimated using a Kalman filter in a Phillips curve framework which assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s inflation target . The NAIRU is then projected forward from the last estimated period using a simple autoregressive rule, exceptionally modified to account for recent labour market reforms, until the end of the forecasting horizon
Index value can be retrieved via Cbonds add-in for Excel using the formula CbondsIndexValue(98716, date)
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