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Zloty seen sensitive to EUR/USD moves & PM's expose, T-bonds expected stable

October 12, 2012
Poland's zloty is expected to remain sensitive to EUR/USD moves and PM Donald Tusk's second expose and vote of confidence in Parliament Friday, while Treasury bonds are seen stabilizing ahead of next week's macro data, Pekao analysts said in a market research. 

"The zloty will remain sensitive to EUR/PLN moves and today's PM Donald Tusk's expose," the research stated. "In the morning, EUR/PLN goes towards 4.085 with a possible range EUR/PLN 4.07-4.10."

Poland's PM is scheduled to deliver an expose in Parliament on the state of tasks accomplished by the government and on future plans at 09:30 local time. Additionally, Tusk will seek vote of confidence to be voted on the same day.

On the Treasury market, bond yields' declines are expected to slow down after recent rally and stabilize ahead of next week's macro data release.

"Today yields' declines could lose momentum with pricing on the curve stabilizing ahead of next week's macroeconomic data release," Pekao analysts wrote.

Stats office GUS will release September CPI figures on Monday, wage and employment data on Tuesday and output and PPI data on Wednesday.

FridayThursdayThursday
9.0016.109.55
   
EUR/PLN4,08634,09014,0960
USD/PLN3,15813,16053,1830
EUR/USD1,29381,29381,2869
   
OK07144,003,993,97
PS04174,124,094,13
DS10214,564,534,57