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Daily review of the debt markets. Market Positive after Greek Elections Might Be Short-Term. Event of the Week: FRS Meeting. No QE Expected from the Regulator

18/06/2012 | UFS IC
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On Friday the Russian Eurobond market showed mainly positive dynamics against the backdrop of growth in most markets of risky assets. The average growth in sovereign bonds totaled about 0.15%. Corporate issues added an average 0.2-0.3%.
Ruble corporate debt market was trading flat on Friday. Trading activity was above average.
On Monday morning global markets saw a moderately positive background. European indices opened with a strong growth, Brent added about 0.5% and was traded at 98.0$ per barrel. Russia-30 has been traded unchanged so far. On the whole we expect growth of corporate Eurobonds. However, the markets anticipate another important event this month – the FRS meeting, which is due on Wednesday. We recommend staying out of the market before the results have been known.
The yield on Spanish 10-year bonds has reached 7.1% by now.
We expect deterioration should the FRS not resolve on new QE. Such a result is the most likely one at the moment.


Trading Ideas in the Bond Market

Eurobonds:
We recommend staying out of the market.

Ruble Bonds:
Strategy Buy & hold:

RSHB-10, ВО-5
Gazprom-13
VTB ВО-5, ВО-7
LUKOIL BO-1, BO-2
Bashneft-3
Gazprom Neft-3, BO-5 and BO-6

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