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Kapital View - Fixed Income
Market Outlook
Eurobond Market
The Russian Eurobond market started to recover at the beginning of this week, but has again moved to the sidelines. Emerging market Sovereign spreads to Treasuries are widening again and CDS spreads are rising. This could lead to another disappearance of adequate bids.
Ruble Bond Market
Ruble bond prices were mostly lower or unchanged on Wednesday. This was mainly due to lower liquidity after the price gains of the past several days in connection with the rebalancing of portfolios and the long weekend. Those few bonds that did rise were primarily short-term and high-quality issues. They are unlikely to see any substantial upside given the upcoming new placements.
FX Market
The dollar responded positively to the outcome of US presidential election. The decline in the euro was mainly due to expectations of a 50 bps cut in the base rate by the ECB at today’s meeting.
Corporate News
• RBC was downgraded again.
• The Moscow region plans to purchase bonds of Moscow Regional Mortgage Agency.