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External Sector Monitor: Non-residents and exporters

Name: 13/04/2023. Gazprombank: External Sector Monitor: Non-residents and exporters
Creator: Cbonds
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

13/04/2023 | Gazprombank

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According to the CBR, the current account surplus remained almost unchanged in March at $5.7 bln vs. $5.8 bln in February. Despite the persisting surplus, the ruble continues to lose ground. There are two reasons for this: capital outflows and the peculiarities of export revenue receipts. Our estimates of FX market balances based on these components confirm this hypothesis. The further trajectory of the ruble will largely depend not only on external demand, but also non-residents’ decisions on asset sales.

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