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CBR meeting preview: +100 bps to end the cycle
The CBR’s Board of Directors will meet on Friday, February 11 to decide on the key rate, which we expect to be raised by 100 bps to 9.5%. Amid the spike of inflation, the tone of the regulator’s rhetoric is unlikely to soften, even though inflationary expectations have eased from December’s record highs. This time, another aggressive move will be driven not only by new short-term inflationary factors, but also stronger long-term ones.