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Cbonds.Global

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Cbonds Consensus, Russia 2016 

The poll was held on Jan 11 - Feb 1.Publication date: February, 9, 2016
World EconomyAverage forecastMedianActual
  Global GDP, %
actual value - IMF forecast (Oct 2015) per 2015Y
3.13.13.1
  US GDP, %
actual value - forecast of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics per 2015Y
2.42.62.4
  Eurozone GDP, %
actual value - forecast of the Eurostat in Sept2015Y
1.61.61.5
  Consumer Prices (CPI, USA) (year-to-date), %
actual value - forecast of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics per 2015Y
1.71.80.7
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Eurozone) (year-to-date), %
actual value - forecast of the Eurostat in Jan2016Y
10.90.2
  Brent Crude Oil
actual value - price ($) in the period from Jan 11 till Jan 12 2016Y
434032
  Gold (USD/ounce, London)
actual value - price in the period from Jan 11 till Jan 12 2016Y
108711001085
  S&P 500
actual value - price in the period from Jan 11 till Jan 12 2016Y
199519401915
  EUR/USD
actual value - price in the period from Jan 11 till Jan 12 2016Y
1.11.051.09
the Russian Federation EconomyAverage forecastMedianActual
  Real GDP Indicator (YoY, Quarterly), %
actual value - forecast, Jan2016Y
-0.6-0.8-3.9
  Industrial production, %
actual value - Rosstat
0.30.6-3.4
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Russia) (year-to-date), %
actual value - Rosstat
8.48.512.9
  Unemployment, %
actual value - Ministry of Labour forecast for 2015Y
5.95.86
  Current account, % of GDP
4.645
  Trade balance, % of GDP
9.610.712
  Budget deficit, % of GDP
-3.7-3.9-5.1
  Foreign capital inflow/ outflow, % of GDP
-1-3.8-4.4
  Gross external debt, $ billion
Central Bank
479468515
  Exchange reserves, $ billion
Central Bank
390390368
  USD/RUB
market rate
69.870.976.03
  EUR/RUB
market rate
73.673.882.52
  Dual-currency basket/RUB
70.870.979
  RTSI
actual value - Jan, 11, 2016Y
890900700
Interest rates, %Average forecastMedianActual
  Federal funds rate, %
0.25 - 0.5
110.5
  ECB refinancing rate, %
0.050.050.05
  Key rate of CBR, %
9911
  Deposit rate, Overnight, %
Central Bank
7712
  3M LIBOR USD
Cbonds
1.31.20.62
  3M EURIBOR
Cbonds
-0.1-0.1-0.16
  MOSPRIME 3M
Central Bank
9.1911.8
Benchmark yield, %Average forecastMedianActual
  UST 10Y YTM
Cbonds
2.72.752.17
  Bund 10Y YTM
Cbonds
0.80.850.54
  Russia-2030 YTM, %
Cbonds
4.34.352.89
  OFZ YTM 3Y, %
Cbonds-GBI RU 1-3Y
8.38.3510.45
  OFZ YTM 5Y, %
Cbonds-GBI RU 3-5Y
8.58.2510.25
  Muni YTM (3Y), %
Cbonds-Muni
9.49.3511.48
  Domestic corporate bonds (1st tier), YTM (3Y), %
IFX-Cbonds
9.59.59.05
 
Cbonds Consensus represents aggregated outlooks of analysts on key indicators of world economy, interest rates, bond and international bond market yields. Consensus calculations are based on data collection results from leading investment banks and bringing the data to average. Cbonds Consensuses are published on the following indicators: GDP, inflation, oil and gold prices, currency rates, key interest rates of Central Banks, yields of government, municipal and corporate bonds and international bonds with different maturities. The system allows viewing detailed consensuses by all the indicators from each investment bank, which provides information. The data can be downloaded in Excel.
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