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Cbonds Consensus, Russia 2016 

The poll was held on Jan 11 - Feb 1.Publication date: February, 9, 2016
World EconomyAverage forecastMedianActual value, 2015Y
  Global GDP, %
фактическое значение - оценка МВФ (октябрь 2015 г.) за 2015 г.
3.13.13.1
  US GDP, %
фактическое значение - оценка U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics за 2015 г.
2.42.62.4
  Eurozone GDP, %
фактическое значение - оценка Eurostat в сентябре 2015 г.
1.61.61.5
  Consumer Prices (CPI, USA) (year-to-date), %
фактическое значение - оценка U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics за 2015 г.
1.71.80.7
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Eurozone) (year-to-date), %
фактическое значение - оценка Eurostat в январе 2016г.
10.90.2
  Brent Crude Oil
фактическое значение - цена (долл.) с 10 по 12 января 2016 г.
434032
  Gold (USD/ounce, London)
фактическое значение - цена с 10 по 12 января 2016 г.
108711001085
  S&P 500
фактическое значение - цена с 10 по 12 января 2016 г.
199519401915
  EUR/USD
фактическое значение - цена с 10 по 12 января 2016 г.
1.11.051.09
the Russian Federation EconomyAverage forecastMedianActual value, January 2016
  Real GDP Indicator (YoY, Quarterly), %
фактическое значение - оценка Минэкономразвития РФ, Январь 2016г.
-0.6-0.8-3.9
  Industrial production, %
фактическое значение - Росстат
0.30.6-3.4
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Russia) (year-to-date), %
фактическое значение - Росстат
8.48.512.9
  Unemployment, %
фактическое значение - оценка Минтруда РФ за 2015 г.
5.95.86
  Current account, % of GDP
4.645
  Trade balance, % of GDP
9.610.712
  Budget deficit, % of GDP
-3.7-3.9-5.1
  Foreign capital inflow/ outflow, % of GDP
-1-3.8-4.4
  Gross external debt, $ billion
ЦБ
479468515
  Exchange reserves, $ billion
ЦБ
390390368
  USD/RUR
биржевой курс
69.870.976.03
  EUR/RUR
биржевой курс
73.673.882.52
  Dual-currency basket/RUR
70.870.979
  RTSI
фактическое значение - 11 Января 2016г.
890900700
Interest rates, %Average forecastMedianActual value, January 2016
  Federal funds rate, %
0.25 - 0.5
110.5
  ECB refinancing rate, %
0.050.050.05
  Key rate of CBR, %
9911
  Deposit rate, Overnight, %
ЦБ
7712
  3M LIBOR USD
Cbonds
1.31.20.62
  3M EURIBOR
Cbonds
-0.1-0.1-0.16
  MOSPRIME 3M
ЦБ
9.1911.8
Benchmark yield, %Average forecastMedianActual value, January 2016
  UST 10Y YTM
Cbonds
2.72.752.17
  Bund 10Y YTM
Cbonds
0.80.850.54
  Russia-2030 YTM, %
Cbonds
4.34.352.89
  OFZ YTM 3Y, %
Cbonds-GBI RU 1-3Y
8.38.3510.45
  OFZ YTM 5Y, %
Cbonds-GBI RU 3-5Y
8.58.2510.25
  Muni YTM (3Y), %
Cbonds-Muni
9.49.3511.48
  Domestic corporate bonds (1st tier), YTM (3Y), %
IFX-Cbonds
9.59.59.05
 
Cbonds Consensus represents aggregated outlooks of analysts on key indicators of world economy, interest rates, bond and international bond market yields. Consensus calculations are based on data collection results from leading investment banks and bringing the data to average. Cbonds Consensuses are published on the following indicators: GDP, inflation, oil and gold prices, currency rates, key interest rates of Central Banks, yields of government, municipal and corporate bonds and international bonds with different maturities. The system allows viewing detailed consensuses by all the indicators from each investment bank, which provides information. The data can be downloaded in Excel.