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Cbonds Consensus, Russia, 2011 

17.01.2011-31.01.2011
World economyAverage forecastMedianActual value, 2010
  Global GDP, %
444
  US GDP, %
2.932.8
  Eurozone GDP, %
1.591.51.6
  Consumer Prices (CPI, USA) (year-to-date), %
1.841.61.6
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Eurozone) (year-to-date), %
2.011.951.6
  Urals, US$/ barrel
85.658591
  Gold (USD/ounce, London)
1427.2114501406
  S&P 500
1378.7514151258
  EUR/USD
1.331.321.33
Russian economyAverage forecastMedianActual value, 2010
  GDP Growth, % change YoY
4.224.14
  Industrial production, %
4.544.48
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Russia) (year-to-date), %
8.578.58.5
  Unemployment, %
6.946.97.2
  Current account, % of GDP
3.493.355
  Trade balance, % of GDP
8.1388
  Budget deficit, % of GDP
-1.75-2-2
  Real disposable income, %
3.964.24
  Capex, %
7.6986
  Foreign capital inflow/ outflow, % of GDP
0.050-1.5
  Russia Gross External Debt, USD bln
504510500
  Russia’s International Reserves, USD bln
549.1545479.38
  USD/RUR
30.1829.830.48
  EUR/RUR
39.854040.33
  Dual-currency basket/RUR
34.7234.3534.91
  RTSI
2027.52087.51770
Key interest rates, %Average forecastMedianActual value, 2010
  Federal funds rate, %
0.310.250.25
  ECB refinancing rate, %
1.0911
  Refinancing Rate of CBR, %
8.458.57.75
  Deposit rate, Overnight, %
3.643.382.75
  3M LIBOR USD
0.630.60.3
  3M EURIBOR
1.461.51.01
  MOSPRIME 3M
5.0254.06
  IRS RUB 1Y Act/Act Ann Fixed vs 3M MOSPRIME mid
6.566.285.34
  NDF USD/RUR 1Y mid
5.835.54.85
Benchmark yield, %Average forecastMedianActual value, 2010
  UST 10Y YTM
3.653.753.3
  Bund 10Y YTM
3.313.252.96
  Russia-2030 YTM, %
4.9154.85
  OFZ YTM, %
7.177.256.39
  IFX-Cbonds YTM eff
8.48.157.52
  Cbonds-Muni YTM eff
8.578.157.6
 
Cbonds Consensus represents aggregated outlooks of analysts on key indicators of world economy, interest rates, bond and international bond market yields. Consensus calculations are based on data collection results from leading investment banks and bringing the data to average. Cbonds Consensuses are published on the following indicators: GDP, inflation, oil and gold prices, currency rates, key interest rates of Central Banks, yields of government, municipal and corporate bonds and international bonds with different maturities. The system allows viewing detailed consensuses by all the indicators from each investment bank, which provides information. The data can be downloaded in Excel.