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Cbonds Consensus, Russia 2013 

The poll was held on 20.03.2013-01.04.2013. Number of respondents: 13. Publication date: 10.04.2013
World economyAverage forecastMedianActual value, March 2013
  Global GDP, %
2.462.73.2
  US GDP, %
2.1121.7
  Eurozone GDP, %
-0.140-0.9
  Consumer Prices (CPI, USA) (year-to-date), %
1.921.92
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Eurozone) (year-to-date), %
1.721.751.8
  Brent Crude Oil
108107110
  Gold (USD/ounce, London)
169417001598
  S&P 500
154715501569
  EUR/USD
1.281.291.28
Russian economyAverage forecastMedianActual value, March 2013
  Real GDP Indicator (YoY, Quarterly), %
2.892.92.1
  Industrial production, %
2.092.22.6
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Russia) (year-to-date), %
6.146.27.3
  Unemployment, %
5.615.55.8
  Budget deficit, % of GDP
-0.23-0.5-0.9
  Russia Gross External Debt, USD bln
679680684
  Russia International Reserves, USD bln
550.18545527.6
  USD/RUR
31.9231.7531
  EUR/RUR
40.740.5839.66
  Dual-currency basket/RUR
35.9135.8534.9
  RTSI
166616451460
Key interest rates, %Average forecastMedianActual value, March 2013
  Federal funds rate, %
0.250.250.25
  ECB refinancing rate, %
0.580.50.75
  Refinancing Rate of CBR, %
7.87.758.25
  Deposit rate, O/N, %
4.284.254.5
  3M LIBOR USD
0.330.30.28
  3M EURIBOR
0.240.210.21
  MOSPRIME 3M
6.46.257.11
  NDF USD/RUR 1Y mid
665.9
Benchmark yield, %Average forecastMedianActual value, March 2013
  UST 10Y YTM
1.9921.86
  Bund 10Y YTM
1.581.331.29
  Russia-2030 YTM, %
3.0533
  OFZ YTM 3Y, %
6.086.185.75
  OFZ YTM 5Y, %
6.446.46.88
  Muni YTM (3Y), %
8.338.37.95
  Domestic corporate bonds (1st tier), YTM (3Y), %
8.138.28.31
  Domestic corporate bonds (2nd tier), YTM (2Y), %
8.868.888.8
  Domestic corporate bonds (3d tier), YTM (1Y), %
10.6310.510.9
 
Cbonds Consensus represents aggregated outlooks of analysts on key indicators of world economy, interest rates, bond and international bond market yields. Consensus calculations are based on data collection results from leading investment banks and bringing the data to average. Cbonds Consensuses are published on the following indicators: GDP, inflation, oil and gold prices, currency rates, key interest rates of Central Banks, yields of government, municipal and corporate bonds and international bonds with different maturities. The system allows viewing detailed consensuses by all the indicators from each investment bank, which provides information. The data can be downloaded in Excel.