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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 249 36 951 031 901 850
USD 30 30 532 469 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, TB 20feb2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190906125 0% 7 020 000 000  LBP 02/21/2019 02/20/2020
Lebanon, TB 23may2019 3m - Domestic bonds 0% 3 020 000 000  LBP 02/21/2019 05/23/2019
Lebanon, TB 15aug2019 6m - Domestic bonds 0% 7 047 000 000  LBP 02/14/2019 08/15/2019
Lebanon, TB 9may2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT190904039 0% 9 037 000 000  LBP 02/07/2019 05/09/2019
Lebanon, TB 6feb2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190904120 0% 112 644 000 000  LBP 02/07/2019 02/06/2020
Lebanon, TB 1aug2019 6m - Domestic bonds LBT190903064 0% 10 635 000 000  LBP 01/31/2019 08/01/2019
Lebanon, TB 25apr2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT190902033 0% 7 021 000 000  LBP 01/24/2019 04/25/2019
Lebanon, TB 23jan2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190902124 0% 12 677 000 000  LBP 01/24/2019 01/23/2020
Lebanon, TB 18jul2019 6m - Domestic bonds LBT190901068 0% 14 018 000 000  LBP 01/17/2019 07/18/2019
Lebanon, TB 11apr2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT190900037 0% 14 010 000 000  LBP 01/10/2019 04/11/2019

Forex

Daily indices

Type: 03/19/2019 03/18/2019 03/15/2019 03/14/2019 03/13/2019 03/12/2019 03/11/2019
FOREX rates
[12645] USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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BIS

Quarterly indices

Type: III 2018 II 2018 I 2018 IV 2017 III 2017 II 2017 I 2017
BIS international bonds outstanding volume
[10273] Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 40.600 40.600 35.700 36.400 40.500 40.900 40.800
BIS new international bonds volume
[10499] International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 0.000 4.900 -0.700 -4.100 -0.400 0.000 1.600

GDP

Yearly indices

Type: 2017 2016 2015 2014
Government debt-to-GDP (Middle East)
[15287] Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 149.00 148.00 139.00 134.00

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 03/20/2019 03/19/2019 03/18/2019 03/15/2019 03/14/2019 03/13/2019 03/12/2019
CDS Lebanon (Interactive Data)
[12577] CDS 5Y Lebanon mid 780.00 785.00 745.00   745.00 745.00 745.00
[13553] CDS 6M Lebanon   648.8800 659.3300 620.6600 624.0800 654.7100 650.6100
[13615] CDS 1Y Lebanon   731.2600 742.7100 698.3700 699.5500 732.2400 727.3700
[13677] CDS 2Y Lebanon 748.0800 819.8800 832.7600 783.3100 785.5200 788.8800 783.6200
[13739] CDS 3Y Lebanon 772.1400 807.7200 820.5600 771.9600 774.9900 778.1300 778.1900
[13801] CDS 4Y Lebanon 777.2900 793.6700 806.4200 758.3200 761.8400 765.0000 768.3600
[13863] CDS 5Y Lebanon 775.5800 780.2600 792.8900 746.2600 749.9900 752.8500 758.5700
[13925] CDS 7Y Lebanon 751.5200 743.5300 755.3700 712.6300 716.6500 719.8100 726.4400
[13987] CDS 10Y Lebanon 725.1400 709.6800 720.5800 681.8100 685.3600 688.1100 695.0300
[14049] CDS 15Y Lebanon 702.0000 682.7800 692.7200 657.7300 660.8200 663.2000 670.0500
[14111] CDS 20Y Lebanon 692.6000 672.2000 681.6900 648.4700 651.3600 653.5900 660.3600
[14173] CDS 30Y Lebanon 680.8300 659.2800 668.4100 636.6700 639.3600 641.4300 648.1800
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Stock exchanges and market participants indices (archive)

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
JP Morgan
[3091] EMBI Global Lebanon 416 420 431 434 432 435 437
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International bonds outstanding volume

Monthly indices

Type: Feb 2019 Jan 2019 Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018
Eastern Europe international bonds outstanding volume
[21955] Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 31.782 31.782 31.782 31.782 33.311 27.124 27.124
[21975] Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250
[21995] Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 30.532 30.532 30.532 30.532 32.061 25.874 25.874
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Inflation

Monthly indices

Type: Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018 Jul 2018 Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018
Inflation (Middle East)
[15637] Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 6.27 6.53 6.70 7.57 7.61 6.52 5.80
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Default probability (based on CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 03/20/2019 03/19/2019 03/18/2019 03/15/2019 03/14/2019 03/13/2019 03/12/2019
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
[20351] 6M Default Probability Lebanon 4.5700 2.2100 2.2700 2.2000 2.2400 2.3700 2.3800
[20413] 1Y Default Probability Lebanon 9.7900 7.2100 7.3500 7.0000 7.0300 7.3700 7.3500
[20475] 2Y Default Probability Lebanon 20.7900 17.8100 18.1000 17.1900 17.2600 17.3200 17.2400
[20537] 3Y Default Probability Lebanon 29.2900 26.0600 26.4300 25.1500 25.2600 25.3400 25.3800
[20599] 4Y Default Probability Lebanon 36.5400 33.1300 33.5800 32.0000 32.1400 32.2500 32.4200
[20661] 5Y Default Probability Lebanon 42.7900 39.2600 39.7600 38.0100 38.1800 38.2800 38.5900
[20723] 7Y Default Probability Lebanon 52.0000 48.5000 49.0400 47.1900 47.4000 47.5400 47.9300
[20785] 10Y Default Probability Lebanon 62.4200 59.1900 59.7200 57.9100 58.1000 58.2400 58.6700
[20847] 15Y Default Probability Lebanon 74.6600 72.0500 72.5000 70.9700 71.1100 71.2200 71.6200
[20909] 20Y Default Probability Lebanon 83.0300 81.0100 81.3700 80.1600 80.2500 80.3400 80.6800
[20971] 30Y Default Probability Lebanon 91.7900 90.5900 90.8000 90.0700 90.1100 90.1600 90.3900
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New international bonds volume

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Middle East new international bonds volume
[19997] Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 5.500 4.700 3.000 3.800 1.575
[20017] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20037] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20057] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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