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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 262 39 150 744 111 850
USD 30 30 532 469 000
EUR 1 445 000 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, TB 31oct2019 12m - Domestic bonds LBT180890123 0% 56 000 000 000  LBP 11/01/2018 10/31/2019
Lebanon, TB 31jan2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT180890032 0% 5 000 000 000  LBP 11/01/2018 01/31/2019
Lebanon, TB 25apr2019 6m - Domestic bonds LBT180889067 0% 32 398 000 000  LBP 10/25/2018 04/25/2019
Lebanon, TB 17jan2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT180888036 0% 5 020 000 000  LBP 10/18/2018 01/17/2019
Lebanon, TB 17oct2019 12m - Domestic bonds LBT180888127 0% 34 375 000 000  LBP 10/18/2018 10/17/2019
Lebanon, 6.74 12oct2023 - Domestic bonds LBT180888606 6.74% 75 005 000 000  LBP 10/16/2018 10/12/2023
Lebanon, TB 3jan2019 3m - Domestic bonds 0% 2 597 000 000  LBP 10/04/2018 01/03/2019
Lebanon, TB 3oct2019 12m - Domestic bonds 0% 442 300 000 000  LBP 10/04/2018 10/03/2019
Lebanon, TB 28mar2019 6m - Domestic bonds 0% 25 921 000 000  LBP 09/27/2018 03/28/2019
Lebanon, 7.46 14sep2028 - Domestic bonds LBT1808850A8 7.46% 50 146 000 000  LBP 09/25/2018 09/14/2028

World Bond market statistics

Quarterly indices

Type I 2018 IV 2017 III 2017 II 2017 I 2017 IV 2016 III 2016
BIS volume of international-bond market of emerging countries
Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 35.700 36.400 40.500 40.900 40.800 39.200 39.100
BIS net issues of international-bond market of emerging countries
International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln -0.700 -4.100 -0.400 0.000 1.600 0.100  

New issues of Emerging markets International Bonds

Yearly indices

Type 2017 2016 2015 2014
Annual new International Bonds issues (Middle East)
Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 4.700 3.000 3.800 1.575
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Emerging Markets International Bonds

Monthly indices

Type Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018 Jul 2018 Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018
Volume of Middle East International Bonds Markets
Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 33.311 27.124 27.124 27.128 27.127 27.828 28.025
Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250
Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 32.061 25.874 25.874 25.878 25.877 26.578 26.775
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Currencies

Daily indices

Type: 11/19/2018 11/16/2018 11/15/2018 11/14/2018 11/13/2018 11/12/2018 11/09/2018
Exchange Rates (Emerging Markets)
USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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Credit Risk Indicators

Daily indices

Type: 11/19/2018 11/16/2018 11/15/2018 11/14/2018 11/13/2018 11/12/2018 11/09/2018
CDS Lebanon (Interactive Data)
CDS 6M Lebanon 831.3300 833.7200 837.2400 825.3800 817.0000 700.8700 703.0700
CDS 1Y Lebanon 840.0300 842.8600 845.9700 834.0900 825.5200 705.3300 713.9800
CDS 2Y Lebanon 821.9100 825.0000 828.2300 816.6800 808.3300 703.4400 699.4800
CDS 3Y Lebanon 779.2100 782.3800 785.3000 774.3600 766.5000 687.4600 693.9300
CDS 4Y Lebanon 764.9100 768.1100 770.9000 760.1600 752.4000 706.4800 695.6600
CDS 5Y Lebanon 758.7900 761.9900 764.7000 754.0500 746.3300 711.1000 700.2000
CDS 7Y Lebanon 736.3900 739.4700 741.9400 731.8300 724.5600 699.7200 689.2700
CDS 10Y Lebanon 718.3000 721.2300 723.4600 713.9900 707.1900 689.6800 679.8100
CDS 15Y Lebanon 704.1100 706.8800 708.8600 700.0400 693.7500 680.9900 671.7900
CDS 20Y Lebanon 698.0700 700.7700 702.6100 694.1000 688.0500 677.2500 668.3600
CDS 30Y Lebanon 693.4900 696.1300 697.9700 689.7000 683.8300 674.4700 665.8200
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
6M Default Probability Lebanon 6.3400 6.4500 6.5100 6.4500 6.4100 5.5500 5.6400
1Y Default Probability Lebanon 11.5900 11.7200 11.7800 11.6600 11.5700 9.9900 10.1900
2Y Default Probability Lebanon 20.6600 20.8100 20.9100 20.6700 20.5100 18.1500 18.1000
3Y Default Probability Lebanon 27.5300 27.6900 27.7900 27.4900 27.2700 25.0000 25.2900
4Y Default Probability Lebanon 34.1300 34.3000 34.4200 34.0500 33.7900 32.5400 32.0600
5Y Default Probability Lebanon 40.2700 40.4500 40.5700 40.1600 39.8600 38.9400 38.4100
7Y Default Probability Lebanon 49.8600 50.0400 50.1500 49.7100 49.3800 48.8300 48.2800
10Y Default Probability Lebanon 61.2800 61.4500 61.5500 61.1100 60.7900 60.6000 60.0600
15Y Default Probability Lebanon 74.7000 74.8400 74.9100 74.5400 74.2700 74.3400 73.9000
20Y Default Probability Lebanon 83.4700 83.5800 83.6200 83.3300 83.1200 83.2900 82.9400
30Y Default Probability Lebanon 92.9400 92.9900 93.0200 92.8600 92.7500 92.9100 92.7200
CDS Emerging markets (sov.) 
CDS 5Y Lebanon mid *   * * * *  
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Macroeconomic Indicators (World economy)

Monthly indices

Type Sep 2018 Aug 2018 Jul 2018 Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Apr 2018
Inflation Rate (World), % to the same period of the previous year
Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 6.53 6.70 7.57 7.61 6.52 5.80 5.80
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Yearly indices

Type 2017 2016 2015 2014
Government Debt to GDP (World), %
Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 149.00 148.00 139.00 134.00

JP Morgan

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
EMBI Global (publication was suspended since 30.10.2013) 
EMBI Global Lebanon * * * * * * *
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Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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