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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 201 32 776 244 540 850
USD 28 29 382 469 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, 8 15aug2024 - Domestic bonds LBT190932600 8% 62 000 000 000  LBP 08/20/2019 08/15/2024
Lebanon, 7.5 11aug2022 - Domestic bonds LBT190931362 7.5% 60 533 000 000  LBP 08/13/2019 08/11/2022
Lebanon, 9 6aug2026 - Domestic bonds LBT190931842 9% 124 049 000 000  LBP 08/13/2019 08/06/2026
Lebanon, 8 9may2024 - Domestic bonds LBT190918609 8% 91 000 000 000  LBP 05/14/2019 05/09/2024
Lebanon, TB 14may2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190918120 0% 13 558 000 000  LBP 05/14/2019 05/14/2020
Lebanon, 10 24jun2029 - Domestic bonds LBT1909170A9 10% 1 163 000 000  LBP 05/08/2019 06/24/2029
Lebanon, TB 24oct2019 6m - Domestic bonds LBT190915068 0% 4 134 000 000  LBP 04/25/2019 10/24/2019
Lebanon, TB 16apr2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190914129 0% 8 192 000 000  LBP 04/18/2019 04/16/2020
Lebanon, TB 2apr2020 12m - Domestic bonds 0% 4 772 000 000  LBP 04/04/2019 04/02/2020
Lebanon, TB 19mar2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190910127 0% 11 013 000 000  LBP 03/21/2019 03/19/2020

Свалка

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
EMBI Global Lebanon 416 420 431 434 432 435 437
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Forex

Daily indices

Type: 10/22/2019 10/21/2019 10/18/2019 10/17/2019 10/16/2019 10/15/2019 10/14/2019
FOREX rates
[12645] USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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GDP

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Government debt-to-GDP (Middle East)
[15287] Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 151.00 149.00 148.00 139.00 134.00

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 10/22/2019 10/21/2019 10/18/2019 10/17/2019 10/16/2019 10/15/2019 10/14/2019
CDS Lebanon
[13553] CDS 6M Lebanon 1 420.1000 1 380.1200 1 334.2500 1 253.7800 1 250.4000 1 286.1900 1 290.9200
[13615] CDS 1Y Lebanon 1 553.4500 1 510.1900 1 460.9900 1 373.3800 1 378.1900 1 418.3000 1 424.0400
[13677] CDS 2Y Lebanon 1 609.8300 1 561.0000 1 511.3400 1 421.2100 1 426.2000 1 457.0400 1 464.1000
[13739] CDS 3Y Lebanon 1 525.8700 1 467.1700 1 420.4400 1 334.7600 1 339.1300 1 367.0800 1 373.7400
[13801] CDS 4Y Lebanon 1 449.7300 1 404.2300 1 359.3100 1 275.9000 1 280.0800 1 307.2700 1 313.6100
[13863] CDS 5Y Lebanon 1 376.9200 1 342.2800 1 298.9300 1 217.8500 1 221.8000 1 247.8500 1 253.7900
[13925] CDS 7Y Lebanon 1 196.0000 1 221.6200 1 181.4900 1 106.1400 1 109.4700 1 135.1900 1 140.2800
[13987] CDS 10Y Lebanon 1 099.1900 1 129.9400 1 092.7300 1 022.9300 1 025.6800 1 051.1900 1 055.4600
[14049] CDS 15Y Lebanon 1 025.1200 1 055.9100 1 021.3500 956.8200 959.0900 983.6100 987.1800
[14111] CDS 20Y Lebanon 993.1400 1 023.4900 990.1000 928.0400 930.1000 954.0800 957.3400
[14173] CDS 30Y Lebanon 970.9900 1 000.7600 968.2000 908.0300 909.9700 933.2600 936.3200
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International bonds outstanding volume

Monthly indices

Type: Sep 2019 Aug 2019 Jul 2019 Jun 2019 May 2019 Apr 2019 Mar 2019
Middle East international bonds outstanding volume
[21955] Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 30.632 30.632 30.632 30.632 30.632 31.282 31.782
[21975] Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250
[21995] Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 29.382 29.382 29.382 29.382 29.382 30.032 30.532
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Inflation

Monthly indices

Type: Aug 2019 Jul 2019 Jun 2019 May 2019 Apr 2019 Dec 2018 Nov 2018
Inflation (Middle East)
[15637] Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 1.22 1.45 1.69 3.48 4.01 3.98 5.69
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Default probability (based on CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 10/22/2019 10/21/2019 10/18/2019 10/17/2019 10/16/2019 10/15/2019 10/14/2019
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
[20351] 6M Default Probability Lebanon 11.9500 11.6800 11.4400 10.8300 10.8500 11.1800 11.2600
[20413] 1Y Default Probability Lebanon 21.8100 21.3100 20.8200 19.7400 19.8500 20.4100 20.5300
[20475] 2Y Default Probability Lebanon 37.8000 36.9200 36.0900 34.3800 34.5200 35.1300 35.3100
[20537] 3Y Default Probability Lebanon 47.5600 46.1900 45.2200 43.2400 43.3800 44.0400 44.2300
[20599] 4Y Default Probability Lebanon 54.6500 53.6100 52.5700 50.4100 50.5500 51.2600 51.4600
[20661] 5Y Default Probability Lebanon 59.7400 59.0500 57.9800 55.7400 55.8700 56.5900 56.7800
[20723] 7Y Default Probability Lebanon 63.6900 65.7400 64.6800 62.4600 62.5700 63.3600 63.5300
[20785] 10Y Default Probability Lebanon 72.1500 73.9600 73.0000 70.9700 71.0500 71.8700 72.0000
[20847] 15Y Default Probability Lebanon 81.9900 83.2100 82.4600 80.8700 80.9200 81.6100 81.7000
[20909] 20Y Default Probability Lebanon 88.4300 89.2500 88.6900 87.5000 87.5400 88.0700 88.1400
[20971] 30Y Default Probability Lebanon 95.4300 95.7700 95.5000 94.8900 94.9100 95.1800 95.2200
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New international bonds volume

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Middle East new international bonds volume
[19997] Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 5.500 4.700 3.000 3.800 1.575
[20017] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20037] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20057] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 10/22/2019 **.* **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.* **.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.*
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.*** **.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 10/22/2019 **.* **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 10/22/2019 **.* **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 10/22/2019 **.** **.* 10/22/2019 **.*** **.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.*** **.**
Lebanon, 6.85% 23mar2027, USD   USD 03/23/2027 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 7% 23mar2032, USD   USD 03/23/2032 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.*** **.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 10/22/2019 **.* **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
Lebanon, 7.25% 23mar2037, USD   USD 03/23/2037 10/22/2019 ** **.** 10/22/2019 **.*** **.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 10/22/2019 **.** **.** 10/22/2019 **.** **.**
BLOM Bank, 7.5% 4may2023, USD   USD 05/04/2023 10/22/2019 **.** *.** 10/22/2019 **.** *.**
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