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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 224 37 293 321 811 850
USD 28 25 357 469 000
EUR 1 445 000 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, 5.84 30jul2020 - Domestic bonds LBT180877245 5.84%   LBP 07/31/2018 07/30/2020
Lebanon, 6.74 20jul2023 - Domestic bonds LBT180876601 6.74% 100 340 000 000  LBP 07/24/2018 07/20/2023
Lebanon, 6.5 15jul2021 - Domestic bonds LBT180875363 6.5% 50 767 000 000  LBP 07/17/2018 07/15/2021
Lebanon, 7.08 10jul2025 - Domestic bonds LBT180875843 7.08% 50 110 000 000  LBP 07/17/2018 07/10/2025
Lebanon, 6.74 6jul2023 - Domestic bonds LBT180874606 6.74% 50 204 000 000  LBP 07/10/2018 07/06/2023
Lebanon, 7.46 22jun2028 - Domestic bonds LBT1808730A2 7.46% 75 317 000 000  LBP 07/03/2018 06/22/2028
Lebanon, 5.84 02jul2020 - Domestic bonds LBT180873244 5.84% 75 157 000 000  LBP 07/03/2018 07/02/2020
BLOM Bank, 7.5% 4may2023, USD - International bonds XS1790041278 7.5% 300 000 000  USD 04/27/2018 05/04/2023
Lebanon, 7.08 17apr2025 - Domestic bonds LBT180863849 7.08% 300 020 992 000  LBP 04/24/2018 04/17/2025
Lebanon, 6.5 22apr2021 - Domestic bonds LBT180863369 6.5% 300 606 016 000  LBP 04/24/2018 04/22/2021

World Bond market statistics

Quarterly indices

Type I 2018 IV 2017 III 2017 II 2017 I 2017 IV 2016 III 2016
BIS volume of international-bond market of emerging countries
Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 35.700 36.400 40.500 40.900 40.800 39.200 39.100
BIS net issues of international-bond market of emerging countries
International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln -0.700 -4.100 -0.400 0.000 1.600 0.100  

New issues of Emerging markets International Bonds

Yearly indices

Type 2017 2016 2015 2014
Annual new International Bonds issues (Middle East)
Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 4.000 3.000 3.800 1.575
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Emerging Markets International Bonds

Monthly indices

Type Jul 2018 Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Apr 2018 Mar 2018 Feb 2018
Middle East International Bonds Markets
Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 27.128 27.127 27.828 28.025 28.027 27.736 28.360
Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 0.950 0.950
Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 25.878 25.877 26.578 26.775 26.777 26.786 27.410
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Currencies

Daily indices

Type: 08/17/2018 08/16/2018 08/15/2018 08/14/2018 08/13/2018 08/10/2018 08/09/2018
Exchange Rates (Emerging Markets)
USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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Credit Risk Indicators

Daily indices

Type: 08/16/2018 08/15/2018 08/14/2018 08/13/2018 08/10/2018 08/09/2018 08/08/2018
CDS Lebanon (Interactive Data)
CDS 6M Lebanon 481.0100 483.9400 477.9500 483.7400 475.5400 460.1000 451.2500
CDS 1Y Lebanon 541.4200 544.4800 537.4600 543.8100 539.2500 521.5600 511.3400
CDS 2Y Lebanon 575.2000 578.4300 581.5100 588.6700 583.7700 564.7100 553.7100
CDS 3Y Lebanon 594.6200 597.9600 602.0500 609.6200 607.3000 587.5300 576.1400
CDS 4Y Lebanon 621.2500 624.7000 625.2200 633.1800 630.9100 610.4500 598.6700
CDS 5Y Lebanon 644.3300 647.8900 643.9500 652.1700 649.6800 628.7000 616.6100
CDS 7Y Lebanon 653.4700 656.9700 649.5100 657.5200 654.8300 634.4300 622.6800
CDS 10Y Lebanon 660.2000 663.5500 654.3200 661.9200 658.9900 639.6200 628.4900
CDS 15Y Lebanon 669.1600 672.3000 662.4300 669.5500 667.5700 649.4400 639.0200
CDS 20Y Lebanon 669.9400 673.0000 662.9600 669.8300 667.8600 650.3300 640.2500
CDS 30Y Lebanon 669.5700 672.5500 662.4300 669.1100 667.1400 650.0800 640.3000
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
6M Default Probability Lebanon 2.2200 2.2500 2.2400 2.2900 2.3000 2.2400 2.2200
1Y Default Probability Lebanon 6.0000 6.0500 6.0000 6.0800 6.0900 5.9200 5.8200
2Y Default Probability Lebanon 13.4200 13.5100 13.6000 13.7800 13.7300 13.3300 13.1100
3Y Default Probability Lebanon 20.5600 20.6800 20.8400 21.0900 21.0800 20.4900 20.1500
4Y Default Probability Lebanon 27.8900 28.0400 28.0600 28.3900 28.3600 27.5900 27.1600
5Y Default Probability Lebanon 34.9700 35.1400 34.9200 35.3000 35.2500 34.3400 33.8200
7Y Default Probability Lebanon 46.0100 46.2000 45.7200 46.1400 46.0500 45.0200 44.4200
10Y Default Probability Lebanon 59.1800 59.3700 58.7200 59.1400 59.0100 57.9600 57.3600
15Y Default Probability Lebanon 74.8400 74.9900 74.3600 74.7000 74.6700 73.8000 73.3000
20Y Default Probability Lebanon 84.1000 84.2200 83.6900 83.9500 83.9100 83.2400 82.8400
30Y Default Probability Lebanon 93.5200 93.5900 93.2700 93.4100 93.3800 93.0100 92.7900
CDS Emerging markets (sov.) 
CDS 5Y Lebanon mid * * * *   * *
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Macroeconomic Indicators (World economy)

Monthly indices

Type Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Apr 2018 Mar 2018 Feb 2018 Jan 2018
Inflation Rate (World), % to the same period of the previous year
Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 7.61 6.52 5.80 5.80 5.35 5.19 5.55
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Yearly indices

Type 2016 2015 2014
Government Debt to GDP (World), %
Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 148.00 139.00 134.00

JP Morgan

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
EMBI Global (publication was suspended since 30.10.2013) 
EMBI Global Lebanon * * * * * * *
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Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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200 000
issues: local and international bonds
170
countries
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200 000
issues: local and international bonds
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countries
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