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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 220 29 542 453 721 850
USD 30 26 257 469 000
EUR 1 445 000 000
corporate
USD 3 950 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, 7.15% 20nov2031, USD - International bonds XS1720805537 7.15% 1 000 000 000  USD 11/20/2017 11/20/2031
Lebanon, 6.5 10sep2020 - Domestic bonds LBT170831368 6.5% 350 584 000 000  LBP 09/12/2017 09/10/2020
Lebanon, 7.08 5sep2024 - Domestic bonds LBT170831848 7.08% 240 567 000 000  LBP 09/12/2017 09/05/2024
Lebanon, 6.74 1sep2022 - Domestic bonds LBT170830600 6.74% 130 283 000 000  LBP 09/05/2017 09/01/2022
Lebanon, 6.5 13aug2020 - Domestic bonds LBT170827366 6.5% 400 294 000 000  LBP 08/15/2017 08/13/2020
Lebanon, 7.08 8aug2024 - Domestic bonds LBT170827846 7.08% 240 257 000 000  LBP 08/15/2017 08/08/2024
Lebanon, 6.74 4aug2022 - Domestic bonds LBT170826608 6.74% 130 956 000 000  LBP 08/08/2017 08/04/2022
Lebanon, 7.46 22jul2027 - Domestic bonds LBT1708250A2 7.46% 340 889 000 000  LBP 08/01/2017 07/22/2027
Lebanon, 5.84 1aug2019 - Domestic bonds LBT170825246 5.84% 250 658 000 000  LBP 08/01/2017 08/01/2019
Lebanon, 6.74 21jul2022 - Domestic bonds LBT170824603 6.74% 130 412 000 000  LBP 07/25/2017 07/21/2022

World Bond market statistics

Quarterly indices

Type I 2017 IV 2016 III 2016 II 2016 I 2016 IV 2015 III 2015
BIS volume of international-bond market of emerging countries
Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 40.800 39.200 39.100 39.100 37.100 37.400 35.800
BIS net issues of international-bond market of emerging countries
International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 1.600 0.100   2.000 -0.300 1.600 -0.500

Emerging Markets International Bonds

Monthly indices

Type Mar 2018 Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017
Middle East International Bonds Markets (adjusted for amortization)
Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 27.436 28.060 28.070 28.052 31.162 30.152 30.934
Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.650 0.650 0.650 0.650 1.150 1.150 1.150
Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 26.786 27.410 27.420 27.402 30.012 29.002 29.784
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Currencies

Daily indices

Type: 04/19/2018 04/18/2018 04/17/2018 04/16/2018 04/13/2018 04/12/2018 04/11/2018
Exchange Rates (Emerging Markets)
USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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Credit Risk Indicators

Daily indices

Type: 04/19/2018 04/18/2018 04/17/2018 04/16/2018 04/13/2018 04/12/2018 04/11/2018
Default Probability
6M Default Probability Lebanon 2.4300 2.4400 2.4300 2.4400 2.4600 2.5000 2.6000
1Y Default Probability Lebanon 4.6600 4.6600 4.6400 4.6500 4.6700 4.7400 4.9100
2Y Default Probability Lebanon 10.2900 10.2800 10.2200 10.2200 10.2500 10.3700 10.7300
3Y Default Probability Lebanon 16.2600 16.2500 16.1400 16.1500 16.1700 16.3600 16.8900
4Y Default Probability Lebanon 22.3800 22.3700 22.2200 22.2200 22.2400 22.4900 23.1800
5Y Default Probability Lebanon 28.8600 28.8400 28.6500 28.6500 28.6700 28.9800 29.8200
7Y Default Probability Lebanon 39.4400 39.4200 39.1900 39.1900 39.2200 39.5900 40.8400
10Y Default Probability Lebanon 51.5100 51.4800 51.2400 51.2400 51.2600 51.6500 53.0900
15Y Default Probability Lebanon 66.7500 66.7200 66.5000 66.5000 66.5100 66.8600 68.2300
20Y Default Probability Lebanon 77.2500 77.2300 77.0400 77.0400 77.0500 77.3400 78.5100
30Y Default Probability Lebanon 89.2800 89.2700 89.1400 89.1400 89.1400 89.3300 90.0800
CDS Interactive Data 
CDS 6M Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 1Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 2Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 3Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 4Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 5Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 7Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 10Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 15Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 20Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 30Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS Emerging markets (sov.) 
CDS 5Y Lebanon mid * * * *   * *
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Macroeconomic Indicators (World economy)

Monthly indices

Type Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017 Aug 2017
Inflation Rate (World), % to the same period of the previous year
Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 5.19 5.55 5.01 4.79 4.62 4.15 5.10
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Yearly indices

Type 2016 2015 2014
Government Debt to GDP (World), %
Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 148.00 139.00 134.00

JP Morgan

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
EMBI Global (publication was suspended since 30.10.2013) 
EMBI Global Lebanon * * * * * * *
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Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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150 000
issues: local and international bonds
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150 000
issues: local and international bonds
170
countries
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