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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Сurrency Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
sovereign
LBP 223 34 383 631 610 850
USD 28 29 382 469 000
corporate
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Lebanon, 8 9may2024 - Domestic bonds LBT190918609 8% 91 000 000 000  LBP 05/14/2019 05/09/2024
Lebanon, TB 15aug2019 3m - Domestic bonds LBT190918039 0% 8 705 000 000  LBP 05/14/2019 08/15/2019
Lebanon, TB 14may2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190918120 0% 13 558 000 000  LBP 05/14/2019 05/14/2020
Lebanon, 10 24jun2029 - Domestic bonds LBT1909170A9 10% 1 163 000 000  LBP 05/08/2019 06/24/2029
Lebanon, TB 24oct2019 6m - Domestic bonds LBT190915068 0% 4 134 000 000  LBP 04/25/2019 10/24/2019
Lebanon, TB 16apr2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190914129 0% 8 192 000 000  LBP 04/18/2019 04/16/2020
Lebanon, TB 10oct2019 6m - Domestic bonds 0% 2 617 000 000  LBP 04/11/2019 10/10/2019
Lebanon, TB 2apr2020 12m - Domestic bonds 0% 4 772 000 000  LBP 04/04/2019 04/02/2020
Lebanon, TB 26sep2019 6m - Domestic bonds 0% 7 334 000 000  LBP 03/28/2019 09/26/2019
Lebanon, TB 19mar2020 12m - Domestic bonds LBT190910127 0% 11 013 000 000  LBP 03/21/2019 03/19/2020

Свалка

Daily indices

Type: 10/30/2013 10/29/2013 10/28/2013 10/25/2013 10/24/2013 10/23/2013 10/22/2013
EMBI Global Lebanon 416 420 431 434 432 435 437
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Forex

Daily indices

Type: 07/22/2019 07/19/2019 07/18/2019 07/17/2019 07/16/2019 07/15/2019 07/12/2019
FOREX rates
[12645] USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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BIS

Quarterly indices

Type: I 2019 III 2018 II 2018 I 2018 IV 2017 III 2017 II 2017
BIS international bonds outstanding volume
[10273] Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 38.000 40.600 40.600 35.700 36.400 40.500 40.900
BIS new international bonds volume
[10499] International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 0.000 0.000 4.900 -0.700 -4.100 -0.400 0.000

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 07/22/2019 07/19/2019 07/18/2019 07/17/2019 07/16/2019 07/15/2019 07/12/2019
CDS Lebanon
[13553] CDS 6M Lebanon 859.6900 861.4200 868.8200 876.0900 882.3300 879.5000 865.6000
[13615] CDS 1Y Lebanon 918.5100 920.0100 927.7500 935.3200 941.7900 938.5800 931.9500
[13677] CDS 2Y Lebanon 969.0300 971.5000 977.7900 982.3200 989.1100 985.7700 966.7700
[13739] CDS 3Y Lebanon 955.5500 955.2800 960.9200 964.5300 971.2900 968.0700 957.2800
[13801] CDS 4Y Lebanon 944.9400 944.4500 949.9900 953.5400 960.2500 957.1000 949.2900
[13863] CDS 5Y Lebanon 928.0300 926.5000 932.1400 936.1100 942.7200 939.6500 932.5800
[13925] CDS 7Y Lebanon 870.5200 869.2300 874.1400 877.7400 883.9300 881.1400 880.3600
[13987] CDS 10Y Lebanon 835.2000 833.9600 838.1200 841.1400 846.8900 844.3600 840.5600
[14049] CDS 15Y Lebanon 807.4800 806.2100 809.5600 812.1500 817.4600 815.1900 809.4600
[14111] CDS 20Y Lebanon 798.2700 797.1100 799.5700 801.2300 806.3400 804.2000 797.6400
[14173] CDS 30Y Lebanon 785.5100 783.7500 786.1600 788.0700 793.0200 791.0100 783.8300
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GDP

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Government debt-to-GDP (Middle East)
[15287] Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 152.00 149.00 148.00 139.00 134.00

International bonds outstanding volume

Monthly indices

Type: Jun 2019 May 2019 Apr 2019 Mar 2019 Feb 2019 Jan 2019 Dec 2018
Middle East international bonds outstanding volume
[21955] Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 30.632 30.632 31.282 31.782 31.782 31.782 31.782
[21975] Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250 1.250
[21995] Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 29.382 29.382 30.032 30.532 30.532 30.532 30.532
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Inflation

Monthly indices

Type: May 2019 Apr 2019 Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018
Inflation (Middle East)
[15637] Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 3.48 4.01 3.98 5.69 6.27 6.53 6.70
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Default probability (based on CDS)

Daily indices

Type: 07/22/2019 07/19/2019 07/18/2019 07/17/2019 07/16/2019 07/15/2019 07/12/2019
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
[20351] 6M Default Probability Lebanon 4.6800 4.7800 4.8500 4.9200 4.9900 5.0000 5.0200
[20413] 1Y Default Probability Lebanon 10.7300 10.8400 10.9600 11.0700 11.1800 11.1700 11.1900
[20475] 2Y Default Probability Lebanon 22.2400 22.3700 22.5300 22.6400 22.8100 22.7700 22.4500
[20537] 3Y Default Probability Lebanon 31.3500 31.4000 31.5800 31.6900 31.8900 31.8300 31.6400
[20599] 4Y Default Probability Lebanon 39.2300 39.2600 39.4600 39.5800 39.8200 39.7400 39.6000
[20661] 5Y Default Probability Lebanon 45.7100 45.6800 45.9000 46.0600 46.3100 46.2200 46.0700
[20723] 7Y Default Probability Lebanon 54.3800 54.3500 54.5500 54.7000 54.9400 54.8600 55.0100
[20785] 10Y Default Probability Lebanon 65.3900 65.3500 65.5200 65.6300 65.8500 65.7700 65.6400
[20847] 15Y Default Probability Lebanon 77.9500 77.9100 78.0000 78.0700 78.2300 78.1800 77.8700
[20909] 20Y Default Probability Lebanon 86.2400 86.2100 86.2100 86.1700 86.2900 86.2500 85.9200
[20971] 30Y Default Probability Lebanon 94.0300 93.9500 93.9700 93.9900 94.0400 94.0300 93.7900
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New international bonds volume

Yearly indices

Type: 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Middle East new international bonds volume
[19997] Annual new issues of Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 5.500 4.700 3.000 3.800 1.575
[20017] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20037] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (financial sector) USD bln 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
[20057] Annual new issues of Lebanon corporate international bonds, (non-financial sector) USD bln 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Bonds prices

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Lebanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 07/20/2017 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 **.**** *.**
Lebanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 12/31/2017 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 11/02/2016 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 10/12/2017 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 05/27/2018 05/18/2016 **.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 06/12/2018 05/18/2016 **.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 11/12/2018 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 11/28/2018 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 11/28/2019 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 04/23/2019 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 04/14/2020 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 05/20/2019 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 01/27/2023 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 10/04/2022 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 06/19/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 02/26/2025 05/18/2016 **.*** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 11/04/2024 05/18/2016 ** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.*
Lebanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 06/12/2025 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 03/09/2020 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 11/27/2026 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 04/22/2024 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 02/26/2030 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.** *.**
Lebanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 11/03/2028 05/18/2016 **.** *.** 05/18/2016 **.*** *.**
Lebanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 11/29/2027 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 04/22/2031 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.*** *.**
Lebanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 12/03/2024 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.**
Lebanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 11/02/2035 05/18/2016 *** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
Lebanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 12/18/2017 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.**** *.**
Lebanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 04/12/2021 05/18/2016 ***.* *.** 05/18/2016 ***.** *.*
Lebanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 03/20/2017 05/18/2016 ***.** *.** 05/18/2016 ***.* *.**
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